Friday Report: Warner Bros.’ Ocean’s 8 scored a strong $4 million start from Thursday’s opening shows, setting the stage for an excellent opening weekend.

For the usual comparison purposes, that comes in stronger than the Ghostbusters reboot two years ago, which earned $3.4 million from Thursday shows. The caveat here is that Ocean’s 8 bowed at 4pm in many markets yesterday, breaking from the traditional 7pm window. Yesterday’s take came in below the $5.6 million of Fifty Shades Freed earlier this year, although that’s to be expected given the loyal fan base of the latter franchise. General tracking between the two films remained quite similar leading up to release.

A24’s Hereditary started off in excellent fashion with $1.306 million from last night’s first shows, nearly doubling the $700,000 of It Comes at Night and falling just shy of Insidious Chapter 3‘s $1.55 million in early June 2015. Weekend projections remain challenging given the significant following for A24 and this film in particular since screenings earlier this year won over critics and generated the buzz machine very early on. We’ll have a stronger idea of where the film lands for the weekend once Friday numbers come in early tomorrow, but a debut on the optimistic end of expectations looks more than likely at this point.

Meanwhile, Global Road’s Hotel Artemis pulled $271,000 last night. That comes in a bit behind the $310,000 of The Belko Experiment when it debuted in March 2017.

For further analysis of the weekend ahead, check out our forecast from earlier in the week. Follow us here and throughout the weekend on Twitter for continued updates.

The post Thursday Night Report: ‘Ocean’s 8’ Swipes $4M Start; ‘Hereditary’ Posts $1.31M; ‘Hotel Artemis’ Checks In w/ $271K appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Universal’s official announcement this morning:

Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom opened in 48 international markets this weekend ahead of its June 22 North American release, and the weekend gross is an estimated $145.9 million. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is the clear No.1 film in all 48 territories where it was released.

Some highlights include:

• Biggest opening day of all time (Korea).
• Universal’s biggest opening day of all time (Hong Kong and Korea).
• Biggest opening day in the month of June in six markets (Mongolia, Turkey, Korea, Thailand, Vietnam and Iceland).
• Biggest opening day in Jurassic World franchise in 14 markets (Mongolia, Estonia, Iceland, Lithuania, Serbia, Sweden, Turkey, Ukraine, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam).
• It is the fifth-biggest international opening weekend of 2018 behind Avengers: Infinity War, Monster Hunt 2, Deadpool 2 and Black Panther (all of which opened in more than 60 territories in their opening weekends, excluding Monster Hunt 2).
• Top grossing territories include: Korea $26.3 million; the U.K. & Ireland $18.9 million; France $9.6 million; Germany $9.0 million; Taiwan $8.1 million; Spain $7.7 million; Russia $7.6 million; India $7.5 million; Indonesia $5.3 million; Philippines $4.5 million; Hong Kong $4.0 million; Vietnam $2 million.

There are 21 more territories to open, including China on June 15, Australia and Brazil on June 21,  Mexico on June 22 and Japan on July 13.

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Ocean’s 8 star-powered its way to the top of the box office this weekend with a robust $41.5 million opening, making it the largest debut in the history of the Ocean’s franchise not adjusting for inflation.

Boasting a powerhouse all-woman lead cast including Sandra Bullock, Cate Blanchett, Anne Hathaway, Rihanna, and Helena Bonham Carter, the Warner Bros. release got off to a strong $15.8 million start on Friday (including Thursday night previews) and played solidly through the weekend to an audience that skewed heavily female (69 percent to 31 percent male) and over the age of 25 (also 69 percent to 31 percent). The franchise’s previous opening weekend record was set by Ocean’s Twelve, which debuted to $39.1 million in December 2004 (though of course ticket prices were much lower fourteen years ago).

While the Ocean’s franchise had been dormant for exactly eleven years (Ocean’s Thirteen opened on the same day in 2007), the studio smartly updated it with an all-woman ensemble, thereby avoiding a sense of having been-there-done-that. That also gave an added boost to the film’s profile early on, with excitement building as a roster of A-list female stars attached themselves to the project in the lead-up to production. Warner Bros. mounted an impressive marketing blitz that emphasized the film’s diverse cast, from old-school stars like Bullock and Blanchett to young guns Rihanna and Awkwafina.

Due to it being an all-woman reboot of a franchise traditionally starring men, comparisons are inevitably being made between Ocean’s 8 and the Ghostbusters reboot from 2016. In light of that, it bears mentioning that while the former debuted a bit lower than the latter’s $46 million opening weekend, its reported production budget is roughly half as much, giving it a leg up in terms of profitability.

Also debuting this weekend was A24’s hard-R horror flick Hereditary, which debuted to a solid $13 million on nearly 3,000 screens for 4th place. In addition to being A24’s widest release ever, Hereditary also scored the indie distributor’s biggest opening weekend, topping the $8.8 million brought in by The Witch back in 2015. It’s a very good debut for the reported $10 million-budgeted film, which benefitted from massive buzz following its premiere at this year’s Sundance Film Festival (not to mention a pretty great trailer).

Notably, as was the case with The Witch, audiences and critics appear somewhat divided on Hereditary. While the Rotten Tomatoes score currently stands at a superb 94%, the Audience Score on the review aggregator is much lower at 72%, while the CinemaScore came in at an abysmal D+. Nonetheless, even if it drops significantly next weekend, this should end up as another tidy horror hit for the studio when all is said and done.

The weekend’s other wide debut, Global Road’s Hotel Artemis, had a less impressive launch, debuting in eighth place with $3.1 million on 2,340 screens. Starring Jodie Foster and Sterling K. Brown, the action film is just the third release from the distributor, which released the family-oriented Show Dogs last month. Reviews were mixed, while the CinemaScore was a not-great C-.

Among holdovers, Solo: A Star Wars Story dropped to second place in its third weekend with $15.2 million, giving it a total of $176.1 million. That represents a 48 percent decline for the would-be Disney blockbuster, which is now looking at a final gross in the $200 million range.

Coming in third place was Fox’s Deadpool 2, which took in an estimated $13.6 million in its fourth weekend. While the super-antihero sequel will finish considerably lower than its predecessor in North America (the first film grossed $363 million domestically), it’s still an impressive haul, particularly given its placement in the thick of the summer moviegoing season.

Fifth place went to STX’s Adrift, which took in an estimated $5 million in its sophomore frame. That represents a drop of 56 percent from its debut last weekend, giving the survival film starring Shailene Woodley a total of $21.7 million after ten days of release.

Falling out of the top five for the first time was Avengers: Infinity War, which took sixth place with $6.8 million in its seventh weekend of release. The Disney-Marvel release now has $654.7 million in the bank and will remain the second highest-grossing MCU release of all time in North America, just behind this year’s Black Panther.

Rounding out the Top 10, Paramount’s sleeper hit Book Club took in an estimated $4.6 million in eighth place, giving it a solid $56.8 million total after four weeks of release. Ninth went to BH Tilt’s low-budget sci-fi/thriller Upgrade, which followed up its better-than-expected $4.6 million debut last weekend with an estimated $2.2 million, giving it a total of $9.2 million after ten days. And in tenth, Warner Bros./New Line’s Melissa McCarthy comedy Life of the Party brought in an estimated $2.1 million for a $50.2 million total after five weeks of play.

Limited Release:

Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? opened to an estimated $470,000 in 29 theaters, giving the critically-acclaimed Mr. Rogers documentary a healthy per-theater average of $16,207. That’s a similar opening to Magnolia’s hit Ruth Bader Ginsburg documentary RBG, which debuted to $578,470 in 34 locations back in May and has since grossed over $9.1 million in North America. Neighbor is slated to expand in the coming weeks.

Overseas Update:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom gobbled up an estimated $151.1 million overseas this weekend ahead of its North American debut. You can read more details here.

Avengers: Infinity War crept ever closer to the $2 billion worldwide mark this weekend, grossing an estimated $10.9 million from 51 territories for an international haul of $1.343 billion and a worldwide total of $1.998 million. It will soon become just the fourth film in history to hit the $2 billion mark globally. Its robust performance in China continued this weekend with another estimated $6.2 million, bringing the film’s total there to $368.4 million.

Solo: A Star Wars Story took in an estimated $11.3 million from 54 territories, bringing its international cume to $136.1 million and its global total to $312.2 million. Current totals for its underwhelming performance overseas include $21.8 million in the UK, $16.3 million in China, and $12 million in Germany.

Deadpool 2 took in an estimated $18.5 million overseas this weekend, bringing its international total to $376 million and its global haul to $655.2 million.

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)FRI, JUN. 8 – SUN, JUN. 10

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Marvel’s latest box office phenom crossed a rare milestone on Monday, becoming the first film in the MCU — and only the fourth all time — to reach $2 billion globally.

The studio’s official announcement:

Marvel Studios’ Avengers: Infinity War surpassed the $2B mark at the global box office yesterday in its 48^th day of release. It’s just the fourth film in industry history to reach this milestone, the third to do so in its initial run, and the second to do so from The Walt Disney Studios (joining Star Wars: The Force Awakens).

Domestically, Avengers: Infinity War stands as the fifth highest grossing film of all time with $656.1M through June 11, 2018. It holds the record for biggest domestic debut ever with $257.7M in its opening weekend. It was the #1 film for three consecutive weeks and remains in the top five.

Internationally, it is the third highest grossing release ever with $1.346B. Its domestic and international debuts over the April 27 weekend combined for a record-shattering global opening of $640.5M even without China. The film opened to a massive $199.3M in China two weeks after the global debut and has gone on to become the third biggest release ever in the country with $369.7M to date.

Territories	GBO
China	$369.7M
UK	$95.1M
Korea	$92.8M
Brazil	$65.9M
Mexico	$59.9M
Australia	$46.3M
France	$45.3M
India	$43.6M
Germany	$43.4M
Russia	$34.4M
Japan	$33.6M

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The studio’s official press release:

Universal Pictures and Amblin Entertainment’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom opened in an additional three markets this weekend, including China, where it has an estimated opening weekend of $125.3 million (RMB 815 million).

Including holdovers from 48 markets, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom will gross an estimated $184.7 million for the weekend bringing the estimated International total through Sunday to $381 million. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom has now opened No. 1 in all 51 territories where it’s released prior to its North American opening.

With this weekend’s results, the Jurassic Park franchise will cross $4 billion worldwide and breaks into the top 10 franchises of all time, counting only five films.

Some highlights out of China include:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom had an opening day of $33.5 million (RMB 215 million) which is the seventh-highest-grossing opening day for an imported film.  It was Universal’s third-biggest opening day ever in China behind Furious 7 (RMB 347 million) and The Fate Of The Furious (RMB 392 million) and more than double the opening day of Jurassic World (RMB 101 million).

China’s estimated opening weekend of $125.3 million (RMB 815 million) is the sixth-biggest three-day opening of all-time in that market, the third biggest three-day opening of all-time for an import film behind The Fate of the Furious (RMB 1.3B) and Avengers: Infinity War (RMB 1.2B).

For comparison, Jurassic World opened in China with a three-day total of $67 million (RMB 417 million) but it also had two full days of previews for a total weekend of $97.5 million (RMB 604 million).

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom opens in North America and 17 additional markets next week, including Australia, Brazil and Latin America.

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Saturday Update: Disney / Pixar’s The Incredibles 2 posted a massive $71.546 million opening day, including all pre-Friday earnings. That sets a new all-time high for the animation medium, coming in 31 percent ahead of Finding Dory‘s $54.75 million first day two years ago.

As we and the studio both continue to note, weekend estimates are more volatile than usual given the unprecedented territory this sequel is in for an animated film. Of note, nearly 26 percent of Incredibles 2‘s first day earnings came from Wednesday and Thursday night’s pre-shows. That’s a higher share than Finding Dory‘s 17 percent, and slightly below the 30 percent shares of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 and Spider-Man: Homecoming, confirming our previous expectation that some front-loading would skew projections away from the patterns of animated titles and more toward live action flicks.

With that being said, we’re holding close to the high end of the studio’s official estimate this morning which calls for a stellar weekend total between $160 million and $170 million. Given the sequel’s excellent word of mouth thus far, and an inevitable Father’s Day boost on Sunday, it wouldn’t be surprising to see that range climb yet again before actuals are delivered after weeks of increasingly optimistic tracking.

More records are sure to fall in the days ahead, but here are some key takeaways thus far:

• 2nd highest June opening day of all-time (ahead of The Twilight Saga: Eclipse‘s $68.5 million) and trailing only Jurassic World ($82 million)
• 14th highest opening day of all-time (ahead of The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2‘s $71.2 million)
• 25th highest opening day of all-time when adjusted for inflation, topping Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge of the Sith ($50 million non-adjusted / $71.5 million adjusted) — Thursday opener / no pre-midnight shows
• 74 percent more than Toy Story 3‘s opening day ($41.15 million non-adjusted / $47.8 million adjusted) — no pre-midnight Friday shows
• 86 percent more than Shrek the Third‘s opening day ($38.43 million non-adjusted / $51.2 million adjusted) — no pre-midnight Friday shows
• highest opening day of all-time for a superhero film not featuring Batman or Marvel Cinematic Universe characters
• highest opening day of all-time for a non-Marvel / non-Star Wars film from Disney

On other fronts:

• Ocean’s 8 added $5.915 million for an updated $65.535 million domestic total
• Tag debuted to a healthy $5.4 million on Friday
• Solo: A Star Wars Story added $2.335 million for an updated $186.1 million domestic total
• Deadpool 2 added $2.3 million for an updated $288.2 million domestic total
• Superfly added $1.87 million on day three of release, standing at $5.865 million thus far
• Hereditary added $2.2 million for an updated $22.4 million domestic total
• Avengers: Infinity War added $1.42 million for an updated $660.3 million domestic total

Early weekend estimates are below (some official studio estimates are included).

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUN. 15 – SUN, JUN. 17

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Friday Update: Disney announced this morning that Pixar’s Incredibles 2 blasted off to a massive $18.5 million, more than doubling the previous record Thursday night opening for an animated title — formerly Finding Dory‘s $9.2 million. An anonymous studio source confirms that figure includes earnings from Wednesday night’s double features, but those did not contribute a significant amount to the total.

All told, this is quite simply unprecedented territory for an animated film. For reference, Incredibles 2 even soared past the Thursday night openings of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($17 million) and Spider-Man: Homecoming ($15.4 million), while matching Jurassic World ($18.5 million).

Weekend projections are highly volatile at this stage as this kind of performance likely indicates the film is performing like a typical live action sequel with huge anticipation and audience interest behind it. This stellar early performance is so far backed by the loyal Pixar and Incredibles fan bases, as well as families in general with schools on break following a spring/summer season that lacked a major animated event film until now — but nothing is certain until we see how Friday proper plays out. Sunday’s holiday in the form of Father’s Day adds another X factor into the mix, one that will surely play to this film’s advantage toward the end of the weekend.

At this point, we’re not deviating significantly from our pre-weekend forecast that called for an opening weekend range of $136-165 million. For example, if the film plays out similarly to Spider-Man: Homecoming from here on out, it would take in approximately $140 million this weekend, while a performance similar to Guardians Vol. 2 would net closer to $160 million. Extrapolations from Dory, Jurassic World, and even Beauty and the Beast ($16.3 million Thursday launch) would be significantly higher, but it’s too early to speculate about those kinds of daily holds for the reasons mentioned above.

Meanwhile, Warner Bros.’ Tag got off to a solid start with $1.325 million last night. Key comps for that ensemble-driven comedy include Blockers ($1.5 million Thursday / $20.6 million weekend), Game Night ($1.0 million / $17.0 million), and Mike & Dave Need a Wedding Date ($1.6 million / $16.6 million). The latter may be the more representative given its similar summer release date.

The weekend’s third opener, Superfly, added $935,000 in its second full day of release on Thursday. That gives it $2.14 million thus far heading into the weekend.

Follow us throughout the weekend for continued updates.

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Incredibles 2 more than lived up to its title this weekend, grossing more than any other animated film in history with an estimated $180 million including Thursday night previews. The Disney-Pixar release not only broke the record set by Finding Dory back in 2016, it obliterated it – outgrossing that sequel’s $135 million opening by a whopping 25 percent. If estimates hold, this will also rank as the eighth highest domestic debut of all time – just edging out Captain America: Civil War‘s $179.1 million – and the biggest opening ever for a PG-rated movie, beating Beauty and the Beast‘s $174.7 million debut from last year. Additionally, it ranks as the second-highest June opening of all time, just behind Jurassic World‘s $208.8 million.

Expectations for the Disney-Pixar release became more and more optimistic in the lead-up to release, with predications soaring after it took in a stunning $71.5 million on Friday (including $18.5 million from Thursday night previews). With an expected bump from Father’s Day Sunday, the film is not only hitting the high end of predictions, it’s surpassing the opening weekends of most of its live-action superhero contemporaries. Indeed, among superhero films it now boasts the fifth-highest opening weekend of all time, behind only Avengers: Infinity War ($257.6 million), Marvel’s The Avengers ($207.4 million), Black Panther ($202 million), and Avengers: Age of Ultron ($191.2 million).

To put things even more in perspective, Incredibles 2 opened an eye-popping 60 percent ahead of the first film, which took in $70.4 million in November 2004 (or $92.7 million adjusted for inflation). That’s an even bigger jump than the one enjoyed by Finding Dory over Finding Nemo ($135 million vs. $70.2 million), which is truly the best comparison we have in the realm of Pixar sequels given the length of time that transpired between the first and second films in each of those series.

With a CinemaScore of A+ and a Rotten Tomatoes “Fresh” rating of 94%, Incredibles 2 seems destined to enjoy strong legs in the weeks ahead, particularly given the dearth of similarly family-friendly films on the horizon. If it performs in line with Finding Dory, which had a strong multiplier of 3.6x and finished with $486.2 million in North America, it could potentially reach as high as $600 million domestically by the end of its run. Of course, it’s too early to assess just how front-loaded the film will end up being, given that we’re more or less in uncharted territory here when it comes to an animated release. In any event, this is a truly phenomenal opening and another feather in the cap for the Pixar brand.

[Read our interview with the Incredibles 2 creative team.]

Falling 53 percent in its sophomore frame, last weekend’s champ Ocean’s 8 took in an estimated $19.5 million this weekend, bringing the reboot of the long-running franchise to a very good $79.1 million after ten days. That drop is on the higher end for films in the heist series, falling about in line with 2004’s Ocean’s Twelve (53.7 percent second weekend drop). Nonetheless, it’s currently pacing about 8 percent ahead of series high Ocean’s Eleven at the same point in its run (not adjusting for inflation).

Also opening wide this weekend was Warner Bros.’ Tag, which brought in an estimated $14.6 million on 3,382 screens. That’s a decent opening for the adult-oriented comedy, which stars Jeremy Renner, Jon Hamm, Ed Helms, Jake Johnson, and Hannibal Buress as a group of 40-something men who have engaged in a long-running game of  tag since they were kids. The film garnered mixed reviews (it’s at 56 percent on Rotten Tomatoes) but fared better with audiences (the Cinemascore is a B+). The film’s opening weekend audience was split almost evenly between men and women, 49 to 51 percent.

Compared to other similar R-rated comedies as of late, Tag opened slightly lower than both Game Night ($17 million) and Blockers ($20.5 million). Both of those films (particularly Game Night) held up well during their respective runs, finishing with $68.9 million and $59.8 million, respectively. With its leaner opening weekend, Tag will need to hold up exceptionally well to finish in either of those ballparks.

[Read our interview with Tag director Jeff Tomsic.]

The weekend’s other wide opener, Sony’s Superfly, got an early jump on the weekend by opening Wednesday, where it grossed $1.2 million. Through Sunday, the actioner is looking at an estimated $8.4 million (and $6.3 million over the three-day period). In the realm of “blaxploitation” remakes, the only viable comparison to be made here is 2000’s Shaft starring Samuel L. Jackson, which opened to $21.7 million and grossed a total of $70.3 million domestically. Of course, that film greatly benefitted from Jackson’s starpower in the lead role. Superfly has a reported budget of $16 million.

Dropping to fourth place is Disney’s Solo: A Star Wars Story, which eased 42 percent to an estimated $9.1 million, bringing its grand total to $192.8 million after four weeks of play. In fifth place, Deadpool 2 held steady with an estimated $8.8 million in its fifth weekend for a total of $294.6 million. Look for the Merc with a Mouth sequel to cross $300 million next weekend.

Sixth place went to A24’s acclaimed horror film Hereditary, which brought in an estimated $7 million in its sophomore frame, a drop of 48 percent from its robust $13.5 million opening. That gives the film a healthy $27.1 million after ten days, putting it about ? percent ahead of the similar 2016 horror film The Witch at the same point.

In eighth place, Avengers: Infinity War grossed an estimated $5.3 million for a total of $664.2 million in North America, effectively surpassing Titanic to become the fourth-highest grossing film of all time domestically.

Rounding out the Top 10, Adrift took in $2.1 million in ninth for a $26.8 million total after three weeks, and in tenth Book Club collected an estimated $1.8 million in its fifth weekend in theaters. The latter film now has a robust $62 million in the bank as it begins winding down its theatrical run.

Finishing outside the Top 10 was Vertical Entertainment’s Gotti starring John Travolta, which stumbled out of the gate with an estimated $1.6 million from 503 locations.

Limited Release:

The critically-acclaimed Mister Rogers documentary Won’t You Be My Neighbor? enjoyed a successful expansion in its second weekend of limited release, bringing in an estimated $985,000 in 96 theaters for an excellent per-screen average of $10,260. The Focus release, which is enjoying a similar rollout to Magnolia’s hit Ruth Bader Ginsburg documentary RBG,  is slated to expand further next weekend.

Overseas Update:

Incredibles 2 opened to an estimated $51.5 million in 25 international territories, including $12.3 million in Mexico, $7.7 million in Australia, and $5.4 million in Russia. That gives it a fantastic worldwide opening of $231.5 million. It’s slated to open in several more territories next weekend, including the all-important China.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom took in another $173.6 million overseas this weekend, including $111.9 million in China. That brings its worldwide total to $370 million ahead of its North American release next weekend. You can read a more in-depth rundown of this weekend’s performance here.

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)

FRI, JUN. 15 – SUN, JUN. 17

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Saturday Update: Universal reports this morning that Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom bowed to an estimated $58.68 million domestic opening on Friday, including Thursday night’s earnings. That continues to line up with the high end of pre-release expectations, and the studio officially projects a weekend of $144.1 million.

Key takeaways from yesterday include:

• 10.7 percent higher opening day than Deadpool 2 ($53.03 million)
• 4.6 percent higher opening day than Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($56.1 million)
• 28.4 percent lower opening day than Jurassic World ($81.95 million)
• 5th highest June opening day of all-time (behind Jurassic World, Incredibles 2, Twilight Saga: Eclipse, and Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen)

Word of mouth will be a key factor in driving weekend business and beyond, but we continue to note this is a franchise not known to be as front-loaded as comic book and other fan-driven series. All in all, a $140 million+ debut would mark a strong debut in tandem with its overseas performance despite the expected decline from 2015’s record debut.

Meanwhile, Incredibles 2 posted a slightly sharper than expected drop with $24.04 million yesterday, off 66.3 percent from opening day last week. Much of that can be attributed to the strong competition for families with older kids turning out for Jurassic, which could help the Pixar sequel achieve a stronger Saturday/Sunday bump than is typical for animated pics this time of year. With $293.5 million earned domestically in just eight days, Incredibles 2 continues on a record animated box office pace. This weekend should ring up close to $80 million, down from pre-weekend forecasts, although that estimate could climb back up again depending on how strong Jurassic is affecting its early weekend play.

Initial weekend estimates from several studios and our own projections can be found below. Complete and updated studio estimates to follow on Sunday.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUN. 22 – SUN, JUN. 24

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Friday Report: Universal confirms this morning that Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom bowed to $15.3 million from Thursday night’s first domestic showings beginning at 7pm in 3,600 theaters.

That lines up with pre-release expectations as the film had been tracking for anywhere between $115 million and $140 million in its domestic opening weekend, a range that holds up with last night’s early results as the film is expected to generate more walk-up business than fan-heavy franchises reliant on massive pre-sales.

Here’s how Fallen Kingdom compares to other films for the usual comparisons’ sake:

• 8.5 percent ahead of Solo: A Star Wars Story ($14.1 million)
• 18 percent behind Deadpool 2 ($18.6 million)
• 10 percent behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 ($17 million)
• 17 percent behind Jurassic World ($18.5 million)

Follow us and check back here throughout the weekend for continued updates.

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Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom took a T-Rex-sized bite out of the domestic box office this weekend.

The sequel to 2015’s Jurassic World took in an estimated $150 million in North America over the three-day period (including Thursday night previews), bringing it in at the high end of expectations. While that’s a far cry from the $208.8 million brought in by the previous installment on its opening weekend, no one expected the follow-up to reach those same heights. By every other measure, this is a fantastic debut; among 2018 releases, it’s the fourth-biggest opening weekend of the year so far, behind only Avengers: Infinity War ($257.6 million), Black Panther ($202 million), and last weekend’s Incredibles 2 ($182.6 million). If estimates hold, it will also rank as the 20th highest debut of all time, just ahead of Furious 7 ($147.1 million) and just behind Spider-Man 3 ($151.1 million). It is also the second-highest opening weekend in the studio’s history behind Jurassic World.

The first Jurassic World was a genuine phenomenon when it debuted three years ago, setting the bar for the franchise extraordinarily high. But as we’ve noted before, that film followed a 14-year franchise drought, being the first film in the series to hit theaters since 2001’s Jurassic Park III. Because of that, much of the film’s box office performance was the result of a nostalgic pull for audiences who had been craving more dino action in the decade-plus that the series had lain dormant. Additionally, while the first film also brought in mixed reviews from critics, its Rotten Tomatoes average came in “Fresh” at 71 percent, whereas Fallen Kingdom finished in “Rotten” territory with a score of just 50 percent as of this writing (its Cinemascore was an A-). While the effect of Rotten Tomatoes scores on audience turnout is by no means an exact science, with the review aggregator’s ubiquity, one can’t help but put some stock in its ability to affect a film’s box office performance.

Fallen Kingdom may also have taken a hit from the presence of Incredibles 2 in the marketplace. With an estimated $80.9 million in its sophomore frame (higher than the first Incredibles‘ opening weekend), the animated sequel is hitting a much broader audience segment than nearly anyone predicted going into its release. Indeed, its $182.6 million opening weekend set an animation record that rivaled the debuts of top-tier MCU and Star Wars releases, and it continues to make a strong statement in weekend two.

The Disney-Pixar release now stands at a truly incredible $350.3 million after ten days, 18 percent higher than previous Pixar record-holder Finding Dory at the same point in its run. That said, it was considerably more front-loaded than its predecessor, as its 56 percent second-weekend drop was considerably heftier than Dory‘s 46 percent (though in fairness, the latter film wasn’t up against a behemoth like Jurassic World). In any event, Incredibles 2 will certainly set an all-time record for a Pixar release by the end of its run, easily eclipsing Dory‘s $486.2 million total. Amazingly, the sequel surpassed the lifetime domestic gross of the first Incredibles in just seven days.

Third place went to Ocean’s 8, which took in an estimated $11.6 million in its third weekend for a grand total of $100.3 million. The Warner Bros. release crossed the $100 million mark after 17 days; by comparison, that milestone was reached by Ocean’s Eleven in 19 days, Ocean’s Twelve in 22 days, and Ocean’s Thirteen in 23 days, though ticket prices were of course much cheaper in the early-to-mid aughts. This weekend’s total gives the long-running franchise a total domestic cume of over $526 million over four modern-day installments.

In fourth place, last weekend’s opener Tag held well in its sophomore frame, dropping 45 percent to an estimated $8.2 million. That brings the R-rated comedy’s total to $30.3 million after ten days. For comparison’s sake, that’s roughly 9 percent behind Game Night and 19 percent behind Blockers at the same point in their respective runs.

Fifth place went to Deadpool 2, which crossed the $300 million mark with an estimated $5.2 million in its sixth weekend of release. The superhero sequel now stands at $304.1 million, roughly 11 percent off from the first film at the same point in its run.

In sixth was Disney’s Solo: A Star Wars Story, which took in an estimated $4 million in its fifth weekend, putting it over the $200 million mark in North America. While that milestone would be cause for celebration for most any other movie, the fact that it took the Star Wars spin-off a month to reach that total ranks as a severe disappointment given that the three previous entries each topped the $200 million mark in just a few days. With $202.2 million domestically and $353.3 million globally, Solo is now slated to finish as the lowest-grossing installment in the history of the franchise worldwide – and that’s including Episodes IV-VI. Domestically, it should finish somewhere between the original runs of The Empire Strikes Back ($209 million in 1980 dollars) and Return of the Jedi ($252.5 million in 1983 dollars).

Seventh place went to A24’s Hereditary, which grossed an estimated $3.8 million for a total of $35 million after three weeks of release. The scarefest is currently the second highest-grossing film in the indie distributor’s history after Lady Bird, which finished with $48.9 million earlier this year.

Rounding out the Top 10, Sony’s Superfly dropped to eighth place in its sophomore frame with an estimated $3.3 million. The remake’s domestic total now stands at $15.2 million. In ninth, Avengers: Infinity War grossed an estimated $2.5 million in its ninth weekend for a $669.5 million total. And just cracking the Top 10 was Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? with an estimated $1.87 million from 348 theaters in its third weekend of limited release, giving it a fantastic total of $4.1 million. The documentary’s per-screen average of $5,388 is even better than that enjoyed by the third weekend of this year’s RBG, which grossed $1.25 million on 375 screens for a per-screen average of $3,341.

Overseas Update:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grossed $106.7 million overseas this weekend, giving it an international total of $561.5 million and a global total of $711.5 million. You can check out a more detailed analysis of the film’s overseas performance here.

Incredibles 2 took in an estimated $56.8 million internationally this weekend, a total that included openings in China, India, and Thailand. In China, the film debuted to $21.2 million, giving Pixar its biggest opening weekend in the country ever. With $137.7 million overseas to date, the sequel’s worldwide cume now stands at $485 million.

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)

FRI, JUN. 22 – SUN, JUN. 24

The post Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Roars with $150M; ‘Incredibles’ Earns $80.9M in Weekend 2 appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Saturday Update: As expected, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom led the way on Friday with $17.438 million, putting it on target for a weekend around $59 million based on studio projections. The film’s domestic total stands at a healthy $222.2 million through eight days.

Incredibles 2 added another $13.628 million yesterday, pushing its domestic haul up to $407.8 million in just just 15 days. Updated projections for its third weekend stand at $45 million+.

Sicario: Day of the Soldado is performing at the high end of expectations, and potentially crossing into “over-performance” territory. Its $7.485 million opening day is a strong start for the sequel as the studio officially projects $18.2 million for the weekend.

Uncle Drew is similarly off to great debut with $6.13 million earned on Friday as it looks to bring in north of $15 million this weekend.

Ocean’s 8 capped the top five yesterday with another strong hold to begin its fourth frame. Based on a $2.41 million Friday estimate, this weekend should ring up around $7.8 million. Its 22-day gross stands at $109.1 million.

Early weekend estimates can be found in the chart below with updated estimates from all major studios to follow on Sunday.

Please note: estimates below from Fox, Global Road, Sony, and Universal represent their official weekend estimates as of Saturday morning.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUN. 29 – SUN, JUL. 1

===

Friday Report: Sony’s Sicario: Day of the Soldado took in a strong $2.0 million from Thursday night’s opening shows, coming in on the high end of expectations. Direct comparisons are few and far between, but that comes in notably higher than Den of Thieves‘ $950,000 start earlier this year. With summer business and the sequel factor in play, projections from the Thursday figure tend to vary, but a weekend in the mid-to-high teen millions looks very doable at this point.

Uncle Drew made a splash in his own right with $1.1 million last night, setting up for a healthy weekend ahead. That figure topped the $860,000 of Boo! A Madea Halloween, although the latter film opened in fall. Again, Thursday business isn’t entirely indicative of where this film is heading, but it too could land on the high end of pre-release forecasts.

More updates to follow throughout the weekend.

The post Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic’ ($59M) & ‘Incredibles 2’ ($45M) Lead Again as ‘Sicario: Day of the Soldado’ & ‘Uncle Drew’ Post Strong Early Results appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Incredibles 2 demonstrated their commercial might once again this weekend, taking the top two slots at the box office in a repeat of last frame. Meanwhile, newcomers Sicario: Day of the Soldado and Uncle Drew had healthy debuts in third and fourth place as we head into the 4th of July holiday.

After debuting at the high end of expectations last weekend with $148 million, Fallen Kingdom fell 59 percent to an estimated $60 million, giving the dino sequel a very good $264.8 million after 10 days of release. While that’s a sharper second-weekend drop than Jurassic World‘s, no one expected Fallen Kingdom to demonstrate the same kind of staying power as its predecessor, which demolished all predictions when it was released back in the summer of 2015 and benefitted heavily from pent-up fan excitement after a 14 year franchise hiatus. A better comparison might be Furious 7, which debuted to roughly the same number as Fallen Kingdom ($147.1 million) and fell 59.5 percent in weekend two. That sequel finished with $353 million domestically, so at its current pace Fallen Kingdom may well end up in that same ballpark.

In its third weekend of release, Incredibles 2 took in an estimated $45.5 million (a drop of 43 percent), giving the Disney-Pixar sequel a massive $439.7 million after 17 days of release. That already makes the superhero blockbuster the third highest-grossing animated film of all time, as it leapfrogged over Toy Story 3 ($415 million) and The Lion King ($422.7 million) this weekend and will soon enough top Shrek 2 ($441.2 million) and Finding Dory ($486.2 million) to become the No. 1 animated film of all time domestically.

Debuting solidly in third place was Sicario: Day of the Soldado, which brought in a better-than-expected $19 million this weekend. The action sequel reunites two of the stars of Sicario (Benicio del Toro and Josh Brolin), which took in $12.1 million in its wide opening back in 2015 after playing in limited release the two weeks prior.

With Sony predicting a $12 million debut going into the weekend, Day of the Soldado came in at the high end of expectations, despite the fact that it lost star Emily Blunt and original director Denis Villeneuve, as well as garnering more mixed reviews than its predecessor (67 percent vs. 93 percent on Rotten Tomatoes). Much of the turnout can likely be chalked up to audience goodwill from the first film, which had a rather leggy run and finished with $46.8 million.

In fourth place, Uncle Drew also scored better than expected grosses, taking in a very good $15.5 million in its opening frame. Starring NBA star Kyrie Irving as the title character alongside Get Out breakout Lil Rel Howery and a cast of professional basketball players including Shaquille O’Neal, and Lisa Leslie, the Lionsgate release certainly benefitted from its cast of literal all-stars, though it also had little in the way of comedy competition in the marketplace.

The audience for Uncle Drew – based on a wildly-popular series of Pepsi commercials – skewed male (59 vs. 41 percent) and older (58 percent over the age of 25). Notably, the film’s marketing campaign included integrations with Pepsi, which originated the character via its in-house Creators League studio.

Taking in an estimated $8 million in fifth place was Warner Bros.’ Ocean’s 8, which now has $114.7 million in the bank after four weekends of release. The heist flick is currently pacing well ahead of both Ocean’s Twelve and Ocean’s Thirteen, and it will soon top the lifetime grosses of both those installments (not adjusting for inflation).

Sixth place went to Warner Bros.’ Tag, which brought in an estimated $5.6 million in its third weekend of release, representing a drop of just over 31 percent from last weekend. The R-rated comedy has $40.8 million in the bank so far.

Seventh and eighth place went to Deadpool 2 and Solo: A Star Wars Story, which swapped positions on the chart for the first time since Solo‘s Memorial Day Weekend debut. The tentpole releases grossed an estimated $3.4 million and $2.3 million in their seventh and sixth weekends, respectively, giving them domestic totals of $310.3 million and $207.3 million.

In ninth place, 20th Century Fox’s Sanju took in an estimated $2.5 million in its opening weekend on 356 screens, placing it unexpectedly in the Top 10 for the weekend. The biography of Bollywood star Sanjay Dutt debuted simultaneously in India, where it took in another $21.6 million.

Rounding out the Top 10, Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? expanded wide and took in an estimated $2.29 million in 654 theaters, representing a per-screen average of $3,502. The acclaimed Mr. Rogers documentary has brought in a solid $7.4 million in four weeks, making it the second documentary to break out over the last couple of months after Magnolia’s RBG, which has brought in $11.5 million since opening in early May.

Limited Release:

The Neon documentary Three Identical Strangers grossed $163,023 on just five screens, giving it a very good per-screen average of $32,604 in its debut weekend. The entry in the “truth is stranger than fiction” category of docs has been acclaimed by critics and should expand wider in the coming weeks.

Boasting a 100% “Fresh” rating at Rotten Tomatoes, Bleecker Street’s Leave No Trace debuted with $216,161 in just nine theaters this weekend, giving it a healthy per-screen average of $24,018. Starring Ben Foster and Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, the film came out of this year’s Sundance Film Festival and is the latest feature from writer-director Debra Granik, who helmed the Jennifer Lawrence breakthrough Winter’s Bone back in 2010.

Overseas Update:

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grossed another $56.1 million internationally this weekend, bringing its overseas cume to $667.6 million and its global total to $932.4 million. Totals include $237 million in China, $46 million in Korea, another $46 million in the U.K. and Ireland and $24 million in Mexico.

Incredibles 2 grossed another $89.8 million overseas, bringing its international total to $207.1 million and its global cume to $646.8 million. It has now surpassed the worldwide gross of the first Incredibles, which took in $633 million back in 2004. Totals include $40.8 million in China, $30.1 million in Mexico, and $19.2 million in Australia. It still has a number of key markets yet to open, including the U.K. (July 13), Korea (July 19), and Japan (August 1).

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)

FRI, JUN. 29 – SUN, JUL. 1

The post Studio Weekend Estimates: ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Repeats with $60M; ‘Incredibles 2’ Takes $45.5M; ‘Sicario 2’ Exceeds Expectations with $19M appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Their press release:

LOS ANGELES (July 3, 2018) – Marvel’s “Ant-Man and The Wasp” is currently ruling Fandango’s Fanticipation movie buzz index with a super-strong 96 out of 100 Fanticipation points and leading Fandango’s weekend ticket sales. Opening this Friday, “Ant-Man and The Wasp” is currently outpacing Marvel’s “Doctor Strange” at the same point in the Fandango sales cycle.

In a Fandango survey of 1,000 moviegoers planning to see “Ant-Man and The Wasp”:

• 99% are planning to stick around for the film’s surprising post-credits sequences;
• 98% are attracted to the series’ special blend of comedy & adventure;
• 96% are particularly excited to see the next MCU movie after Avengers: Infinity War; 
• 94% look forward to the film’s different kind of villain;
• 90% can’t wait to see Marvel’s first female superhero with title billing.

“A record-breaking year for Marvel Studios continues this week with the highly-anticipated sequel, ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp,’ which looks to make a big mark at the box office with its tiny characters,” says Fandango Managing Editor Erik Davis. “Paul Rudd, Evangeline Lilly, Michael Douglas and Michelle Pfeiffer lead an action-comedy that is one of the more kid-friendly Marvel titles, and as such, will make a perfect holiday escape for the entire family.”

Fans purchasing tickets to the film on Fandango will receive an exclusive fan-created “Ant-Man and The Wasp” poster from Fandango FanShop, available here while supplies last.

About Fandango

Fandango is the ultimate digital network for all things movies, serving more than 60 million unique visitors per month, according to comScore, with best-in-class movie information, ticketing to more than 30,000 U.S. screens, trailers and original video, home entertainment and fan merchandise. Its portfolio features leading online ticketers Fandango, MovieTickets.com and Flixster; world-renown movie review site Rotten Tomatoes; and Movieclips, the #1 movie trailers and content channel on YouTube. Fandango’s movie discovery and ticketing innovations can also be found on mobile, social, AI and voice platforms from Apple, Facebook, Google, Amazon, and others.  Fandango’s video on-demand service, FandangoNOW offers new release and catalog movies and next-day TV shows to more than 200 million connected, over-the-top (OTT) and mobile devices, while Fandango FanShop curates unique and exclusive fan gear and collectibles.  In Latin America, the company operates leading online ticketers Ingresso.com and Fandango Latin America.

About Fanticipation       

Known for having its finger on the pulse of moviegoers, Fandango’s movie buzz indicator, Fanticipation, provides statistical insight into the movies fans are planning to see in a given weekend. Fanticipation scores (based on a 1 to 100-point scale) are calculated via an algorithm of Fandango’s advance ticket sales, website and mobile traffic, and social media engagement. Fanticipation is not intended as a forecast of the weekend box office; it is a snapshot of movie fan sentiment. Fandango is the ultimate digital network for all things movies, reaching more than 60 million unique visitors per month across its portfolio of digital properties, according to comScore.

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Wednesday Update: Universal reports this morning that The First Purge posted $2.5 million from last night’s opening shows beginning at 7pm in 2,350 locations.

Comparisons aren’t entirely apples and oranges due to the July 4th holiday landing on Wednesday this year — the first time that’s happened since 2012, predating the Purge franchise. That being said, The Purge: Election Year scored $3.64 million on the evening of Thursday, June 30, 2016, while The Purge: Anarchy pulled $2.6 million on the evening of Thursday, July 17, 2014.

Final weekend forecasts for First Purge and Ant-Man and the Wasp to follow later today.

The post Tuesday Night Report: ‘The First Purge’ Claims $2.5M Midweek Start appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Welcome to the inaugural installment of Trailer Impact, a new weekly column on BoxOffice.com every Thursday.

Every week, our parent company Webedia Movies Pro surveys up to two thousand moviegoers from the past week in the U.S. and Europe. We ask two main questions:

1. Which trailers did the most respondents see and still remember, several hours or days after first being viewed? That’s the memorization score.
2. Which trailers sparked the highest percentage of positive interest among people who did see them, hopefully indicating a likely future view at a cinema? That’s the positive interest score.

Using data from our recently-launched data tool of the same name, every Thursday we’ll use the column Trailer Impact to reveal the top three for both categories, along with some analysis about what’s creating those positive marks.

The three most remembered trailers of the week:

Ant-Man and the Wasp

(Disney)

July 6

• 41% of moviegoers saw and remembered this trailer, its highest score to date and far higher than any other movie this week. Memorization score up slightly from 40% last week.
• The positive interest score stands at 76%, up slightly from a low of 74% last week. The peak was 90% in late April.
• Arriving on the heels of Marvel’s two biggest films ever, February’s Black Panther and April’s Avengers: Infinity War, the superhero sequel starring Paul Rudd and Evangeline Lilly looks to continue Marvel’s record breaking year.

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

(Sony)

July 13

• 28% of moviegoers saw and remembered this trailer, its highest score to date. Up a bit from 25% last week.
• Positive interest stands at 70%, exactly the same as last week. That’s down from a peak of 86% in mid-May.
• The third animated Hotel Transylvania installment, about a group of monsters trying to take a vacation from scaring humans, is currently tracking in line with its two predecessors’ mid-$40’s openings.

Mission: Impossible – Fallout

(Paramount)

July 27

• 26% of moviegoers saw and remembered this trailer. That’s up slightly from 25% last week. The peak of 29% was in mid-May.
• Positive interest stands at 70%. That’s up slightly from 69% last week. The peak of 77% was shortly after the trailer’s February release.
• The sixth installment in Tom Cruise’s Mission: Impossible action franchise is currently tracking to open the highest of any in the series. (Although some of the earliest installments from the 2000s would have higher openings when adjusting for ticket price inflation.)

The three trailers sparking the most positive interest:

Interestingly, all three of the most positively reviewed trailers this week come from Sony.

Alpha

(Sony)

August 17

• 96% positive interest score, the first week that the film’s second trailer (above) has tracked on our charts.
• 2% of moviegoers saw and remembered the trailer.
• The drama takes place several thousand years ago, featuring a boy separated from his tribe uniting with a wolf separated from its pack. Audiences are responding to the human-dog connection which has produced box office hits like Marley and Me and to a lesser extent A Dog’s Journey, along with the action sequences as the boy fights off woolly mammoths and the like.

Searching

(Sony)

August 3

• 93% positive interest score, its highest score yet and a surge from last week’s 57%.
• Fewer than 1% of moviegoers saw and remembered the trailer.
• The family-themed thriller follows a man searching for his missing teenage daughter primarily using digital tools, with the entire movie taking place on computer, tablet, and smart phone screens. The “family-themed thriller” genre was a huge box office breakout April with A Quiet Place, and the digital theme appears to be resonating with audiences in our increasingly interconnected society.

The Equalizer 2

(Sony)

July 20

• 86% positive interest score. That’s up from from 69% last week. The peak of 87% was in mid-June.
• 10% of moviegoers saw and remembered the trailer.
• The R-rated action sequel returns Denzel Washington as a retired CIA agent who dispenses bloody justice to his enemies. Fans of the original, which earned $101.5 million in 2014, seem excited to see Washington act in the first sequel of his decades-long career.

Trailer Impact is a service provided by Boxoffice Media parent company Webedia Movies Pro. To subscribe to the full service, which includes exclusive data about the top 25 trailers of the week, click here.

The post Trailer Impact: ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ Most Remembered Trailer of the Week, ‘Alpha’ Creates Most Positive Interest appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Universal’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom surpassed $1 billion at the global box office on Thursday.

The sci-fi action sequel has now earned $700.7 million overseas and $304.8 million domestically, for a $1.005 billion total to date.

The top overseas market is China with $245.2 million so far, followed by the United Kingdom with $47.0 million and South Korea with $45.8 million.

It currently ranks #34 all time globally and an even more impressive #28 all time overseas.

While it will still rise at least several ranks on both lists, it will have a very difficult time reaching or surpassing 2015 predecessor Jurassic World. That title ranks #5 all time globally with $1.67 billion and #6 overseas with $1.01 billion.

Fallen Kingdom is now the third release from 2018 to cross $1 billion globally, along with February’s Black Panther (#9 all time globally with $1.34 billion) and April’s Avengers: Infinity War (#4 globally with $2.03 billion and counting).

The post ‘Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’ Reaches $1B Globally appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Saturday Update: Marvel’s opening day streak officially reached a perfect 20-for-20 yesterday as Ant-Man and the Wasp scored an estimated $33.801 million, including Thursday night’s previous earnings.

The Marvel audience is typically strong during matinee business throughout the weekend, although opening day’s proximity to the July 4th holiday on Wednesday this year makes early estimates a bit more tricky than usual. We’re holding more tightly within earlier ranges for now and expecting between $77-86 million based on its early trajectory.

Some key takeaways for Ant-Man and the Wasp‘s opening day:

• 49 percent higher than Ant-Man ($22.65 million)
• 14 percent higher than Captain America: The First Avenger adjusted for 2018 ticket prices (approximately $29.7 million)
• 4 percent higher than Doctor Strange ($32.6 million)
• 11 percent behind Guardians of the Galaxy ($37.85 million)
• 12 percent behind Wonder Woman ($38.25 million)

Meanwhile, Incredibles 2 added $9.82 million for an updated domestic haul of $485.2 million. It has a shot at remaining in second place this weekend, leap-frogging Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom on the weekend chart. The latter blockbuster added $9.11 million yesterday and now stands at $313.9 million domestically.

The First Purge pulled $6.06 million on Friday for a three-day running tally of $19.97 million. Sony expects around $18.46 million for the three-day weekend, another strong result for the franchise.

Among sophomore performances, Sicario: Day of the Soldado grossed $2.3 million on Friday for an updated cume of $30.3 million, followed by Uncle Drew in sixth place with $2.165 million and $25.5 million in the bank thus far.

Early weekend estimates are below, including official studio estimates from Fox, Global Road, Sony (Sicario only), and Universal. Updated studio estimates to follow on Sunday.

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUL. 6 – SUN, JUL. 8

===

Friday Update: Disney reports this morning that Ant-Man and the Wasp scored a strong $11.5 million start from Thursday night’s first showings and fan events, setting the stage for another excellent debut in the Marvel Cinematic Universe.

For comparison purposes, the sequel registered 80 percent higher than Ant-Man‘s $6.4 million Thursday night debut three years ago, 3 percent more than Guardians of the Galaxy ($11.2 million), 22 percent more than Doctor Strange‘s November debut ($9.4 million), and 25 percent behind last summer’s Spider-Man: Homecoming ($15.4 million).

Weekend projections remain steady (toward the higher end) with pre-release forecasts. Follow us throughout the weekend for continued updates.

The post Weekend Estimates: ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ ($77M+) Makes Marvel 20-for-20; ‘Incredibles 2’ & ‘Jurassic’ Clash for Second; ‘First Purge’ Strong w/ $30M+ 5-Day Launch appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Monday Update:

Marvel can do no wrong in 2018, as the Marvel Cinematic Universe’s third installment this year Ant-Man and the Wasp buzzed with $75.8 million.

The Disney sequel opened 32 percent higher than the original Ant-Man did in 2015.

The second- and third-place films were so close that they actually switched spots between Sunday studio estimates and Monday actuals, a rare occurrence.

When it was all said and done, Universal’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom finished as the runner-up with $28.6 million, a 53 percent drop. The title passed $1 billion globally on Thursday, the third film to do so this year after Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War.

Disney’s Incredibles 2 came just slightly behind in third place with $28.4 million, a 39 percent decline.

Universal’s horror prequel The First Purge started in fourth place with $17.3 million. That’s lower than any of the this decade’s three previous Purge installments.

In a feat that hasn’t been seen in many many years, four of the top 22 movies this weekend were documentaries:

• Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? about Fred “Mr. Rogers” Rogers stayed in the top 10, inching from 10th place to 9th place with $2.5 million.
• Roadside Attractions’ Whitney about Whitney Houston started in 12th with $1.2 million.
• Neon’s Three Identical Strangers improved to $684 thousand as it expanded its theater count.
• Magnolia’s RBG about Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg came in 22nd with $357 thousand, after cracking the top 10 for two weeks in May.

Comparisons

Total box office this weekend was $188.2 million. That’s 5.6 percent above last weekend, but 8.8 percent behind this same weekend last year.

Year-to-date box office stands at $6.55 billion. That’s 9.4 percent ahead of this same date last year, a dip from the +9.8 percent the box office stood after last weekend.

Our full table of weekend actuals is below, after our Sunday update featuring more analysis.

Sunday Update:

Ant-Man and the Wasp buzzed its way to the top of the box office this weekend with an estimated gross of $76 million, which while at the lower end of expectations marks a big improvement over the first Ant-Man‘s $57.2 million opening. Meanwhile, The First Purge debuted reasonably well, giving Universal another successful entry in their ongoing action-horror franchise.

After opening with a great $33.8 million on Friday (including Thursday night previews), Ant-Man and the Wasp slowed its roll a bit as the weekend progressed, though as previously mentioned it improved upon its predecessor by a substantial margin while still coming in at the lower end of MCU opening weekends (it falls about halfway between Thor’s $65.7 million and Thor: The Dark World‘s $85.7 million). Nonetheless, this weekend’s performance makes it the third official MCU blockbuster of 2018, after Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War, marking by far the most successful year the franchise has had in its history.

This year alone, Black Panther and Avengers: Infinity War have brought in a combined $1.37 billion in North America and an astronomical $3.37 billion worldwide, raising the MCU’s box office to even greater heights. Of course, no one expected Ant-Man and the Wasp to come anywhere near the performance of those films. Still, $76 million represents an impressive increase for the standalone Ant-Man series, which has been seen as something of a red-headed stepchild in the Marvel universe. It’s worth noting that, as opposed to the first Ant-Man – which introduced a character few outside the core fangirl/boy demo were familiar with – the sequel benefitted from heightened awareness for the title hero, who also previously appeared in Captain America: Civil War before getting his own follow-up. The film’s 86% “Fresh” rating on Rotten Tomatoes also didn’t hurt.

Fighting it out for second were blockbuster holdovers Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Incredibles 2, with the latter coming out slightly ahead with an estimated $29 million. That brings the animated blockbuster’s domestic total to a massive $504.3 million total after four weeks in theaters. The Disney-Pixar release is now the highest-grossing animated film of all time domestically, having surpassed Finding Dory‘s $486.2 million this weekend. Additionally, it’s now the eleventh highest-grossing movie of all time in North America, surpassing the live-action Beauty and the Beast‘s $504 million total on Sunday.

At this point, Incredibles 2 will easily leapfrog over Rogue One: A Star Wars Story ($532.1 million) and The Dark Knight ($534.8 million) to become the ninth highest-grossing domestic release of all time. And if it holds especially well in the coming weeks and reaches a multiplier that rivals Dory (3.6x), it could even surpass Star Wars: The Last Jedi and The Avengers, which currently sit in eighth and seventh place on the all-time chart with a total of $620.1 million and $623.3 million in North America, respectively. It’s not at all clear that that will be the case, however, so we’ll just have to see how Incredibles 2 holds up in the weeks ahead.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grossed $28.6 million in weekend number three, bringing the Universal blockbuster’s domestic total to $333.3 million. While substantially lower than its immediate predecessor by the same point in its run ($500.3 million), it’s nonetheless an impressive total that puts it at No. 4 on the list of 2018 releases, just ahead of Deadpool 2 and behind only Black Panther, Avengers: Infinity War, and Incredibles 2.

The weekend’s other wide opener, Universal’s The First Purge, debuted in fourth place with $17.2 million over three days and $31.1 million since opening on Wednesday, coming in at the lower end of expectations. While a good total relative to its reported $13 million budget, that three-day number is by far the lowest in the franchise, coming in $12 million below The Purge: Anarchy‘s $29.8 million debut. The audience for the horror prequel was 54 percent male and 51 percent under the age of 25, while its Cinemascore was a “B-.”

Fifth and sixth place went to sophomore holdovers Sicario: Day of the Soldado and Uncle Drew, which followed up on their better-than-expected debuts last weekend to gross an estimated $7.3 million and $6.6 million, respectively.

Dropping a substantial 61 percent from its opening weekend, Day of the Soldado‘s domestic total currently stands at $$35.3 million and is currently on track to meet or exceed the domestic cume of the first Sicario, which took in $46.8 million in the autumn of 2015. Still, that film boasted better legs than its follow-up, dropping just 37.6 percent in its second weekend of wide release and posting declines of less than 40 percent for a number of weeks afterwards. With a Cinemascore of “B” (in comparison with Sicario‘s “A-“), Day of the Soldado is primed for a more rapid decline than its predecessor.

Uncle Drew, meanwhile, held up slightly better, declining 57 percent from its $15.2 million opening last weekend. That gives the basketball comedy, which is based on a series of popular Pepsi ads, a healthy total of $29.9 million after ten days.

In seventh place, Ocean’s 8 brought in an estimated $5.2 million in its fifth weekend, giving it a solid total of $126.7 million in North America. The ensemble sequel has now surpassed the domestic cumes of both Ocean’s Twelve and Thirteen (not adjusting for inflation). In eighth place, Warner Bros.’ Tag grossed an estimated $3.1 million in its fourth weekend of release, giving the R-rated comedy a domestic total of $48.3 million thus far.

Expanding to 891 theaters this weekend was Won’t You Be My Neighbor?, which finished in ninth for the third weekend in a row with an estimated $2.5 million. With a total of $12.3 million in North America thus far, the Focus Features release is the second sleeper hit documentary of the summer after RBG, which opened in May and has brought in nearly $12 million domestically.

Finally, tenth place went to Deadpool 2, which brought in another $1.6 million in weekend number eight (surely its last in the Top 10) for a total of $314.5 million in North America.

Limited Release:

The acclaimed sci-fi/comedy Sorry to Bother You boasted the weekend’s best per-theater average in its limited debut, taking in an estimated $717,302 in 16 locations (or $44,831 per screen). Directed by Boots Riley, the buzzy film has a 94% “Certified Fresh” rating on Rotten Tomatoes and has benefitted from a large amount of hype leading up to release. The Annapurna release’s broad appeal will be tested as it expands further in the coming weeks, but this is an auspicious start.

The Whitney Houston documentary Whitney took in an estimated $1.25 million from 452 screens in its opening weekend, giving it a per-theater average of $2,765. The critically-acclaimed film played heavily to women, who made up 65 percent of the audience. The Cinemascore was an “A.”

Expanding to 51 screens in its second weekend of limited release, Three Identical Strangers grossed an estimated $717,008, good for a per-theater average of $14,059. That counts as a successful expansion for the Neon documentary, which has now brought in over $1 million since opening on five screens last weekend.

Overseas Update:

Ant-Man and the Wasp opened to an estimated $85 million internationally this weekend, including $15.5 million in Korea and $6.7 million in Mexico. That gives the film a global debut of $161 million. Major markets yet to open include India (July 13), France (July 18), and Germany (July 26).

After crossing the $1 billion mark worldwide on Thursday, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom added another $27.6 million to its overseas total, bringing its international cume to $725.3 million and its global total to $1.058 billion. International totals include an impressive $250.4 million in China (where the original Jurassic World topped out at $228.7 million), $48.8 million in the U.K. and Ireland and $29.2 million in Mexico.

Incredibles 2 took in an estimated $35.7 million overseas, bringing its international total to $268.4 million and its global cume to $772.7 million. Country totals include $48.7 million in China, $33.3 million in Mexico, and $24.6 million in Australia.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic)

FRI, JUL. 6 – SUN, JUL. 8

Studio Weekend Estimates (Domestic)

FRI, JUL. 6 – SUN, JUL. 8

The post Weekend Actuals: ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ Flies to $75.8M; ‘The First Purge’ Finishes with $17.3M 3-Day appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Saturday Update: Sony is officially positioned to claim their first #1 spot at the box office this summer with Hotel Transylvania 3, which bowed to a strong $16.65 million opening on Friday. That figure includes Thursday night’s $2.6 million, but does not include the studio’s reported $1.276 million earned from Amazon Prime member screenings in approximately 1,000 theaters on Saturday, June 30.

The studio projects the domestic weekend tally will reach $41 million (sans Amazon grosses), although our projections stand a little more bearish at $43-45 million for now. International updates to follow on Sunday.

Key early takeaways from Transylvania 3‘s opening day:

• 52 percent ahead of Hotel Transylvania‘s $10.97 million first day in September 2012
• 25 percent ahead of Hotel Transylvania 2‘s $13.325 million first day in September 2015
• 0.5 percent behind Ice Age: Continental Drift‘s $16.73 million first day in July 2012
• 15 percent behind Cars 3‘s $19.595 million opening day in June 2017
• $1.276 million from June 30’s Amazon Prime member screenings not counted in Friday or weekend figures
• Sony’s first film to top the daily box office since Peter Rabbit on Sunday, February 11
• Will become Sony’s first film to win the weekend box office since Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle’s 7th frame on Super Bowl weekend (February 2 -4)

Debuting in second place, Skyscraper earned a respectable $9.268 million on the back of Dwayne Johnson’s star power. Unfortunately, that falls a bit shy of our and the studio’s pre-release forecasts as Universal now projects a debut weekend around $25 million. As an original film without a built-in brand, there’s still room for leggy playability in the days and weeks ahead. Word of mouth will be key toward that goal, which appears to be much stronger among audiences (80 percent on Flixster) versus critics (51 percent on Rotten Tomatoes). The studio’s global estimate for this weekend stands at $66.2 million.

Skyscraper‘s prospects remain stronger overseas, where the studio estimates a $41.2 million weekend from 57 territories, including Mexico, UK & Ireland, Korea, Russia, France, Australia, Brazil, Germany and Spain. It opened in first place in 19 markets, with top grossing markets represented by Korea ($4.8 million), Mexico ($3.7 million), Russia ($2.6 million), Australia ($2.4 million), UK & Ireland ($2.4 million), and Taiwan ($2.3 million). Skyscraper opens in 11 markets next weekend, including Italy and China.

Meanwhile, Ant-Man and the Wasp slid 75 percent from opening day last week to $8.407 million yesterday, bringing its eight-day domestic cume to $112.4 million. That Friday-to-Friday slide was slightly sharper than Spider-Man: Homecoming‘s 73 percent dip on the same sophomore frame last summer. The latest Marvel sequel’s second weekend is estimated to bring in around $28 million.

Other notables:

• Incredibles 2 added $4.6 million on Friday for a $524.2 million domestic total, looking to overtake Rogue One: A Star Wars Story in tenth place all-time by the end of Sunday
• Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom added $4.433 million yesterday for a $352.2 million domestic total, overtaking American Sniper ($350.1 million) at #47 on the all-time chart and set to pass Inside Out, Furious 7, and Transformers: Dark of the Moon for #44 by the end of Sunday
• Sorry to Bother You enjoyed a strong expansion into 805 theaters with $1.494 million yesterday, now standing at $2.56 million through eight days of limited play

Early weekend estimates are below. Full studio estimates to follow on Sunday.

* denotes official studio estimate as of Saturday morning

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, JUL. 13 – SUN, JUL. 15

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Friday Report: Sony announced this morning that Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation launched with $2.6 million on Thursday evening with shows beginning at 5pm in 3,276 locations. That lines up with pre-release expectations as a very healthy start for the animated sequel, coming in just behind Cars 3‘s $2.8 million in June 2017 and ahead of How to Train Your Dragon 2‘s $2.0 million in June 2014.

Meanwhile, Skyscraper pulled a solid $1.95 million debut from 7pm shows at 2,950 locations last night. Dwayne Johnson’s latest headliner came in slightly ahead of Central Intelligence ($1.84 million) and just behind Hercules ($2.1 million).

Follow Boxoffice for further updates throughout the weekend.

The post Weekend Estimates: ‘Hotel Transylvania 3’ Pacing for Strong $41-45M; ‘Skyscraper’ Eyes $25M Domestic, $65M+ Global Start; ‘Ant-Man and the Wasp’ Targets $28M Second Frame appeared first on BoxOffice Pro.

Monday Update:

Millions of people checked into the “hotel” this weekend, as Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation won the box office weekend with $44.0 million.

Sony’s animated sequel debuted similarly to the $42.5 million and $48.4 million openings of the franchise’s previous two installments.

Last weekend’s leader, Disney’s superhero sequel Ant-Man and the Wasp, fell to runner-up with $29.0 million. The  second-weekend drop of 62 percent was steeper than the original Ant-Man‘s 56 percent fall.

Skyscraper, which had been widely projected to start in second place, instead started in third with $24.9 million. Universal’s Dwayne Johnson-led action thriller opened 30 percent behind Johnson’s April release Rampage.

Documentaries continue their surprisingly strong run this summer, with two documentaries exceeding seven figures this weekend. Focus Features’ Won’t You Be My Neighbor? came in 11th place with $1.9 million, after spending the preceding three weekends in the top 10. Neon’s Three Identical Strangers improved to 13th place with $1.2 million, following a theater count expansion.

A24’s coming-of-age Eighth Grade started with the year’s highest per-theater average on an opening weekend so far, earning $263 thousand from only four theaters in NYC and LA. That’s a per-theater average of $65,949 — higher than the year’s previous leader, March’s Isle of Dogs, which opened with an average of $60,011.

Comparisons

Total box office this weekend was $165.6 million. That’s 12.1 percent behind last weekend, but 1.4 percent ahead of this same weekend last year, when War for the Planet of the Apes opened with $56.2 million.

Year-to-date box office stands at $6.81 billion. That’s 8.8 percent ahead of this date last year.

Our full table of weekend actuals is below, after our Sunday update containing fuller analysis.

Sunday Update:

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation beat out Skyscraper for the top slot at the box office this weekend, reiterating the commercial strength of Sony Animation’s premier animated franchise. Meanwhile, Ant-Man and the Wasp‘s sophomore frame was strong enough to hold off the Dwayne Johnson action film in second place.

Hotel Transylvania continued to draw blood at the box office, with the third installment in the franchise taking in an estimated $44.1M in its debut frame and continuing the series’ streak of $40 million-plus openings. That total doesn’t include the $1.27 million made by the threequel last Saturday, when several exclusive screenings for Amazon Prime members were held in approximately 1,000 theaters. This weekend, the film played in 4,267 locations, by far the widest release ever for the series.  It’s worth noting that this is the first entry in the franchise to debut during the summer months, as Hotel Transylvania 1 and 2 both dropped in September with opening weekends of $42.5 million and $48.4 million, respectively.

Impressively, HT3 did well despite the continued strength of the record-breaking Incredibles 2 in the marketplace. While it couldn’t quite nudge its way into “Fresh” territory on Rotten Tomatoes, it’s the best-reviewed entry in the series so far, and its “A-” Cinemascore suggests it will benefit from positive word-of-mouth in the coming weeks. The first two films had strong legs, neither falling more than 40 percent weekend-to-weekend over their first several weeks of release. Luckily, HT3 has a two-week breathing period before the release of the next major animated title, Teen Titans Go! To the Movies, so it has the potential to continue that trend.

After opening to $75.8 million last weekend, Ant-Man and the Wasp fell 62 percent from its debut to land at $28.8 million in weekend two, good enough for a second place finish. Compared with previous Marvel sequels, this one was slightly more frontloaded than normal. By comparison, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 fell 55.5 percent in its sophomore frame, while Iron Man 2 fell 59.4 percent, Captain America: The Winter Soldier fell 56.6 percent, and Thor: The Dark World fell 57.4 percent.  The latest MCU installment has taken in a total of $132.8 million after ten days, which is roughly 20 percent ahead of the first Ant-Man at the same point in its run.

Coming in at the low end of expectations this weekend was the latest Dwayne Johnson vehicle Skyscraper, which debuted to a relatively disappointing $25.5 million in third place. That puts it even lower than Universal’s conservative weekend projection of $30 million. The audience breakdown here was 55 percent male to 45 percent female, which is identical to the breakdown for Rampage back in April. The Cinemascore was a “B+.”

Relative to recent non-Fast and Furious-related Dwayne Johnson movies, Skyscraper debuted significantly lower than Rampage ($35.7 million), Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle ($36.1 million), and Central Intelligence ($35.5 million), and fell short of even Hercules, which opened with $29.8 million in 2014 on its way to a disappointing final gross of $72.6 million domestically. That said, Johnson’s films tend to double and even triple their North American grosses internationally, and Skyscraper should prove to be no exception. Still, overseas markets will have to do even more heavy lifting than usual this time around.

Coming in fourth place in its fifth weekend, Disney’s Incredibles 2 took in an estimated $16.2 million, bringing its domestic total to a massive $535.8 million. After surpassing Finding Dory last weekend to become the highest-grossing animated film of all time in North America, this weekend the Pixar sequel surpassed both Rogue One: A Star Wars Story ($532.1 million) and The Dark Knight ($534.8 million) to become the ninth highest-grossing film of all time domestically.

In fifth, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grossed an estimated $15.5 million in weekend number four, bringing its domestic total to $363.3 million. The Universal sequel is now number 43 on the list of all-time domestic grossers, just ahead of Deadpool ($363 million) and just behind Disney’s live-action Jungle Book ($364 million).

Falling to sixth place in its sophomore frame is another Universal title, The First Purge, which fell a surprisingly-low 47 percent to $9.1 million after debuting with $17.3 million over the three-day frame last weekend. That gives the horror-action sequel a very good $49.5 million after ten days, putting it just slightly behind the pace of the three previous films in the franchise, all of which dropped more than 60 percent in their sophomore frames.

Seventh place went to Annapurna’s Sorry to Bother You, which took in an estimated $4.2 million in its expansion to 805 theaters after debuting to a stellar $727K on only 16 screens in its limited debut last weekend. This weekend’s per-screen average was a healthy $5,289, marking a successful expansion for the Boots Riley-directed film. It now has roughly $5.3 million in the bank and is primed to expand wider after this weekend’s performance.

In eighth place, Sony’s Sicario: Day of the Soldado took in an estimated $3.8 million in its third weekend, giving it a domestic total of $43.2 million and putting it just a few million shy of the first Sicario‘s $46.8 million lifetime gross in North America. In ninth, Lionsgate’s Uncle Drew grossed an estimated $3.2 million for a total of $36.6 million after three weeks of release, while tenth place went to Ocean’s 8, which took in an estimated $2.9 million for a total of $132.2 million after six weeks.

Limited Release: 

A24 opened the critically-acclaimed Eighth Grade in four theaters and took in an estimated $252,284, giving the Bo Burnham dramedy a fantastic per-screen average of $64,137.

Amazon Studios’ Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot took in an estimated $83,120 on four screens, good for a per-screen average of $20,780. Directed by Gus Van Sant, the film received mainly positive reviews from critics.

The summer’s latest hit documentary Three Identical Strangers brought in an estimated $1.18 million in its expansion to 167 screens, giving the Neon release a very good per-screen average of $7,072 and a domestic tally of $2.5 million after three weeks of limited release.

Overseas Update:

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation took in an estimated $46.4 million in 44 international markets this weekend, vaulting its global total past $100 million. Sony previously opened the film in Australia and New Zealand, where it took in roughly $6 million in the two weeks prior to its debut in other territories.

Skyscraper opened to an estimated $40.4 million overseas this weekend in 57 territories, including $4.6 million in Korea, $3.7 million in Mexico, and $2.6 million in Russia. The global tally is $65.9 million.

Ant-Man and the Wasp grossed an estimated $35.3 million internationally, bringing its overseas total to $150.9 million and its global tally to $283.7 million. Updated totals include $34.5 million in Korea and $11.5 million in Mexico, while key future openings for the MCU installment include Germany (July 26), the U.K. (August 2), and Japan (August 31).

The global total for Incredibles 2 increased to $856.9 million this weekend after the animated blockbuster brought in an estimated $33.3 million in 43 markets. Country totals include $51.5 million in China, $36 million in Mexico, and $29.5 million in Australia.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic)

FRI, JUL. 13 – SUN, JUL. 15